Thursday, October 15, 2015

FirstNet -- Sabotage of a Nations Economic Boom?

You know what the worst thing is about FirstNet jumping ship and joining the carriers? The fact that FirstNet, and the carriers, will have squandered the perfect opportunity for themselves to create and entire market place that would drive the next big economic push for FirstNet, the States, the carriers and the entire Nation. To me this is just criminal -- an act of sabotage on the nation.  

By allowing the States to build, and benefit from, their own statewide implementation of a Public Private Partnership (P3), will drive an economic boost for the local telecom markets that hasn’t been seen since the creation of the Bells. The boom will create great long-standing opportunities with a bi-product of putting a lot of local people to work, while at the same time opening up a great investment market placeBy FirstNet denying the States the opportunity they will have lavished a great break in boosting the economy, while at the same time factually creating a huge wedge in execution between the States and the Federal Government – once again -- initiating one of the greatest blame games ever 

The opportunity we are facing is teetering on the edge of governmental disappointment and failure once again. When will these actions cease? By enabling the States to build their own P3 will enable the State, and the President, to actually accomplish something greater than anything we could imagine.  If anything FirstNet is doing a great injustice to the Nation and should be investigated for its decisions.  

Even if FirstNet were to deploy their solution in just one State, they would have stolen an economic boost that is more needed at the State level than the Federal level. It may be just me, but in essence FirstNet, and the carrier partner(s), would be conducting the second greatest theft of the Nation – the first being China. By pushing to do one national build-out will only benefit the commercial carriers to create more revenue for their own confers -- none of which would go to the States. We have to remember, the carriers have already sunk the cost of having a standing operations for broadband service, this partnership will only allow them to reap the economies of scale by using existing platforms to foster more service offerings to their real customer base – you and I -- not Public Safety.  

The carriers see numbers, not social issues such as Public Safety. The carrier's only requirement is to the shareholders and the bottom line. All FirstNet will do is pump-up the traditional carriers so that the carriers can benefit from the reduced overheads, thus more profit for its shareholders and access to the best spectrum on the planet without spending a dime. How do I know this? Well, because I've been supporting the carrier business model for many years, and still do. The carrier model works, and is very profitable, but its not based on building an entire infrastructure just so Public Safety can be first. No matter how good the message sounds, or politically tied it is, the responsibility of the carrier is to its shareholders, not the Government.  

In actuality, if I were advising a carrier, I would say stay away from FirstNet -- far away. By going after FirstNet's RFP the carrier will have put itself one step closer to nationalizing their assets -- which can be good and bad. The carrier will win either way.  The carrier can sit on the sidelines, wait for the political landscape to deteriorate, then FirstNet will come begging for help and thus giving away the bandwagon -- for free. Or, the States will commission their own P3s, construct the network, take over all the assets with private investments, so that the commercial carrier can totally depart from owning the margin-eating assets and focus purely on content and service delivery.  I don’t even think FirstNet understands the depth of the maneuvering they’ve gotten themselves into. In fact, I know they have no idea, except maybe those on the board with carrier experience, but why would they say anything? After all, the carrier model is the only model these board members and leaders within FirstNet understand  

To be frank (like I haven’t been all along) FirstNet is taking advantage of the States. FirstNet understands that many States lack the knowledge to know they are being taken to the cleaners. FirstNet uses that knowledge to its advantage by pushing their solution onto the State knowing that they will do a deal with the devil of the carrier machine. 

In the end, you can’t blame the carriers, they are doing what they do best, defend and fight off competition in their own turf.  In actuality, it is a masterful play and also a deplorable view of greed and demonstrates how the carriers are always laser focused on conquering all the bandwidth they can garner just so they can make more money. In this case they will have gotten access to the most valuable spectrum on the planet – for free. Like I said, that is what the carriers do, if you understand this, then you will know that the flags of insider blocking and trading has been going on since the appointment of senior carrier executives to the FirstNet Board and the 400 page business plan that never existing.  

The D-Block was never going to go to Public Safety, no matter what the law states.  There is a faction  within the highest ranks of the federal government and commercial industries that have been insuring this from the start. It was a ride from the beginning, and as I stated more than a year ago, the only way out is with a State Governor opting to build it themselves. You see the spectrum doesn’t garner as much revenue if the whole pie is not put together, but then again its obvious that the leadership never really gave a damn about the law they knew they could change it along the way, but what do I know, I'm..... 

Just some guy and a blog..... 

1 comment:

Unknown said...

And this doesn't even speak to the link budget challenges. The states could build a network much more efficiently if the RAN could be designed around higher powered mobile and handheld subscriber units. The LTE standard supports higher SU transmit power and a maximum cell radius of 100kM. I'm not suggesting we need to push that limit, but the small-cell extreme is not a good fit either. It's easier to build a hardened network with fewer sites. By partnering with the carriers, and FirstNet's hang up on this revenue sharing model, you force the low-powered subscriber unit link-budget on public safety.

Commercial networks started with high sites (coverage) and built down as the capacity requirements grew. The places where public safety communications are suffering the most - rural areas - need coverage. Lots of it. And they need to deploy it efficiently. That's simply not possible with a +20dBm smartphone based transmitter on a public safety subscriber unit.



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